Russell Napier: “We Are On The Eve Of A Deflationary Shock ”

Courtesy of Zerohedge:

In the aftermath of Ray Dalio’s conversion to an inflationista earlier this year (even if he has since once again been pushing a deflationary agenda when he once again went long Treasurys in late September as Zero Hedge reported previously), which promptly got such permanent deflationists as David Rosenberg to change their multi-year tune, it seemed as if there was nobody left in the deflationary camp. Which, implicitly meant Bernanke was winning as the world’s expectations for a return to inflation were rising (remember: hyperinflation has nothing to do with inflation per se, and everything to do with loss of confidence in a currency, even if formerly a reserve), and also meant the Fed would need to do less to further its reflationary agenda.

Alas, as the Taper Tantrum and the shock upon its subsequent withdrawal showed, not to mention the recent outright disinflation in Europe, any rumors that the Fed was back in control were wildly exagerated, and here we find ourselves, entering the last month of 2013 with loud speculation that not only will the BOJ increase its own QE but the ECB itself will have no choice but to join the QE party (even as the Fed may or may not taper although it is increasingly looking likely that with an economy this late in the cycle, Yellen will simply forego tapering altogether, and may even navigate Bernanke’s chopper) in order to stoke even more inflation as the current amount was, surprise, insufficient. We ignore all discussion of what such a reckless action would mean for the credibility of fiat, although we remind readers that right now both the US and Japan monetize 70% of their gross bond issuance, and thus deficit. Continue reading

Which Eurozone Countries are Growing?

Courtesy of the IMF/Goldman Sachs Global ECS research, I present the Euro and periphery growth charts…this as good as it will get and expect the majority to turn red in the near future. I will point out that Spain should be outlined in blue as it received a bailout but hey the figs are from the IMF (insolvent) and Goldman Sachs (also insolvent) so what do you expect.

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5 Charts that show Markets are not Representative

Are markets acting rationally taking into account the current economic figures? The simple answer is no and the reason is because markets are fixed. The stock markets keep climbing to new highs, giving the appearance, to the general public, that all is well and the economy is recovering….it’s not. The Euro continues to disappoint and when does a bad outlook translate into higher stock prices? It doesn’t, it translates into mass fraud by the banks using High Frequency Trading and algorithms to give the impression of liquid and healthy stock markets.

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Taken from The Hedge….

It would appear that the credit markets both anticipated and began to price in what is now the worst recessionary period for the European Union on record a few days ago. However, their exuberant, ever-hungry colleagues over in equity land remain in the bad is good mode and can’t get enough of these higher prices. Where ever we look around the developed world, equity prices are lifting as credit deteriorates. The masses ignored these lessons in 2007; are they ignoring it again? Or is this just another short-term divergence? If so, it is bond-buying time… if not, take your equity profits now because these divergences are unsustainable.

European stocks and credit…

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US stocks and credit…

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Sovereigns ain’t buying it?

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and protection is bid

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It’s time to get your cash out of the markets.